Football boards & weekly CFB systems

See where our model
disagrees with the line.

Start with the free CFB board and NFL matchup previews. Pro unlocks NFL forecasts and breakdowns. MVP adds the CFB system card, published plays and live system results.

Explore the Free CFB Board See What MVP Unlocks

Already have a free account? Keep it—upgrade from Pricing.
Here for baseball? Pro MLB analysis is $9/month.

Free · Football projection boards Pro · $9/mo · MLB analysis & performance MVP · $24/mo · Pro + CFB system cards

Find your sport.

Football boards and MLB analysis are available now. Other sports are labeled beta or coming soon; a season countdown is not a promise of paid picks.

Live
⚾
MLB

Pitcher-vs-lineup projections, game analysis and a daily play-or-PASS decision. Full MLB performance with Pro.

Beta
🏒
NHL

Shooter-vs-goalie shots-on-goal research. Beta preview; no established live betting record claimed.

Coming soon
🏀
NBA

Player props and totals, built on pace and matchup. Coming soon.

Free Board
🏈
NFL

Compare projected scores, spreads and totals with the available market lines. Free with an account.

Free Board
🏟️
College Football

Model projections and system flags on the free board. The detailed weekly system card and live ledger are included with MVP.

Coming soon
🏀
College Basketball

Tempo-free ratings into sides, totals, and March edges. Coming soon.

Latest settled MLB pick.

The most recent graded pick—not necessarily yesterday's. The date and result stay visible through PASS days. Full MLB performance is included with Pro and MVP.

Matchup
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Our Play
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Vegas Line
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Final Score
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Result
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Date
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Measure the price, then the result.

We track whether totals move toward or away from our projection after the lineup-confirmation snapshot. The tracker below shows that measurement separately from wins, losses and betting returns.

Market-movement agreement is not a win rate or proof of profitability. Historical backtests and live results are different records. How we measure this →

Live tracker (since June 10): on the move's side in 126 of 196 totals moves (64.3%) · totals CLV on our leans +0.01 runs · 1230 games snapshotted. Server-rendered from the grading database — published either way.

Today's MLB decision.

MLB bet recommendations and stake sizing are on validation hold. Research access follows your plan; historical records remain available.

MLB VALIDATION HOLD

Bet recommendations and stake sizing are on validation hold. Forecasts and research leans remain available.

Individual-game probability calibration has not been accepted for wagering. Historical records and replays remain available.

Loading today's decision…
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Open MLB Analysis

How we pick.

Projections, system signals and official bets answer different questions. Read the methodology before using them.

01

Model the matchup, not the box score

MLB: 3-year weighted xwOBA → a run-expectancy projection for each lineup. NHL: every shooter's shot profile vs the exact goalie he's facing → projected shots on goal. Advanced stats, matchup by matchup.

02

Compare with the available price

A projected score is a model estimate, not a wager. We compare it with the available line. A CFB historical system can disagree with the score model; the system card distinguishes published plays from conditional watchlists.

03

Keep the losses in the record

MLB can publish PASS. CFB system cards show their live record separately from backtests. No win is guaranteed, and a promising week does not establish a lasting edge.

Plans.

Built so a free signup is genuinely useful — and so paying gets you the full board, line context, and Kelly verdict.

Free
$0 / forever

Explore football projections before choosing a paid plan.

  • CFB & NFL projection boards
  • Model scores vs available market lines
  • Latest settled MLB pick + result
  • Situational trends explorer
  • Daily recap email
Sign Up Free
MVP
$24 / mo · or $199/yr

Add the CFB system card and personal pick tracking.

  • Everything in Pro
  • Weekly CFB system card
  • Published system plays & conditional watchlist
  • Live system ledger alongside historical results
  • Personal P&L tracker
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